FIFA World Cup Semi Final: Messi Facing England for First Time in His 21-Year Career Today

England Favourites on Paper with 39.1% Win Probability as Opta Predicts Close Semi-Final.

July 15, 2026 at 5:41 PM
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ISLAMABAD: From the controversial “Hand of God” goal by Diego Maradona in 1986 to David Beckham being red-carded for kicking Diego Simeone in 1998, sporting contests between England and Argentina are often theatrical, tense and tricky.

Then, there is also the lingering sovereignty dispute over the Falkland Islands.

Divided by geography and conflict, England and Argentina are vastly different in many ways, yet at this World Cup, they have at least one thing in common, both have made a habit of surviving on the edge.

But tonight in Atlanta, history will be written as Lionel Messi finally faces England for the first time in his 21-year international career, with a place in the World Cup final on the line.

At last, Messi meets England

From winning the World Cup to Copa America, lifting the Champions League trophy to the Ballon d’Or, and kissing the Golden Ball, Messi has achieved almost everything possible in football.

But in his 21 years playing for Argentina, there is one thing he has not done: face England.

The 39-year-old forward will play against the Three Lions for the first time, 21 years on from the red card he received in the early days of his career, which denied him the chance in a 2005 friendly.

“I have played against everyone except England, and it is special because they are a major nation, a powerhouse, and it is always nice to play against a side like that, especially in a World Cup semifinal,” Messi said.

Read Also: World Cup 2026: Lionel Messi Returns to Top of Golden Boot Race

With eight goals in six matches, Messi is enjoying a World Cup campaign like no other as he bids for his first Golden Boot. As the captain, he is also leading Argentina’s charge to become the first team to retain the World Cup since Brazil in 1962.

Should they beat England, Argentina would be in their third final in four World Cups, and Messi could follow in the footsteps of Brazil’s great Cafu, who played in three in a row from 1994 to 2002 – even Maradona only ever played in two.

“Getting to another semifinal is not a normal, mundane thing, so this is something we should really enjoy because we don’t know if it will happen again,” Messi added.

How they reached the semi-finals

England topped Group L with seven points, beating Croatia and Panama and drawing with Ghana. They needed a second-half comeback to beat the Democratic Republic of the Congo in the round of 32 and knocked out co-hosts Mexico 3-2 in a scintillating last-16 contest at the iconic Azteca Stadium.

In the quarterfinals, they came from a goal down to beat Norway 2-1 in extra time.

Argentina had a strong showing in the first round, topping Group J by beating Algeria, Austria and Jordan. In the round of 32, they were pushed to their limits before squeezing past Cape Verde 3-2 in extra time, and came from two goals down to beat Egypt 3-2 in a controversial last-16 contest which drew allegations of officiating bias.

Against Switzerland in the quarterfinals, they again played a full 120 minutes before securing a 3-1 win.

Pickford backs England to keep cool in the tense clash

Generations in England have not seen their team lift a major trophy. Their only success came when hosting the 1966 World Cup.

This current squad, headlined by the dynamic duo of Harry Kane and Jude Bellingham, is, however, within touching distance of making history, by not only winning a second trophy, but a first on foreign soil.

Before the game, though, Thomas Tuchel’s side knows the pressure is firmly on them, but goalkeeper Jordan Pickford believes the team can cope.

“You’ve seen throughout the tournament our desire to win tackles. We’ve not got into any scuffles or anything,” he said on Monday.

“We’ve been very well respected within the game. Decisions go our way [or] they don’t go our way, we just reset, we go again, and we let the football do the talking.”

England, fourth in the FIFA rankings, two spots below Argentina, are set to feature in a fourth semifinal in the last five major tournaments.

Match predictions and key statistics

As of Tuesday, Opta’s supercomputer gives England a 39.1 percent probability of winning in regulation time, while Argentina’s chances of winning are 31.6 percent.

The model estimates a 29.3 percent probability of the game going to extra time.

Head-to-head record: England lead with six wins, Argentina have three, and five games ended in a draw.

Past results:

  • England 3-2 Argentina (International friendly, 2005)
  • England 1-0 Argentina (World Cup 2002, group stage)
  • Argentina 2-2 England (4-3 on penalties, World Cup 1998, round of 16)

Read Also: Spain Cruise Into World Cup Final With Dominant Victory Over France

Team news and predicted lineups

England midfielder Declan Rice, who has been struggling with illness, is a doubt, while veteran player Jordan Henderson is out with a wrist injury.

No injuries have been reported in the Argentina camp.

England’s predicted lineup (4-1-3-2): Pickford; Konsa, Stones, Guehi, O’Reilly; Rice, Anderson; Madueke, Bellingham, Gordon; Kane

Argentina’s predicted lineup (4-1-3-2): Martinez; Molina, Romero, Lisandro, Tagliafico; Paredes; De Paul, Fernandez, Mac Allister; Messi, Alvarez

Read Also: Artificial Intelligence Predicts France as 2026 World Cup Favourites in Nail-Biting Verdict

Match details

Kickoff time

  • United Kingdom: 8pm (British Summer Time)
  • Argentina: 4pm (Argentina Standard Time)
  • USA: 3pm (Eastern Daylight Time)
  • Pakistan 12:00 (midnight)

Venue: Atlanta Stadium (Mercedes-Benz Stadium), Atlanta, Georgia – capacity 68,239

Weather forecast: AccuWeather forecasts rain on Wednesday afternoon. “Some sun with a thundery shower,” it says.

Referee: Ismail Elfath (US)

The winner will face either France or Spain in Sunday’s final at New York New Jersey Stadium.

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