World Bank: Extreme Heat Could Endanger 90% of South Asia by 2030

Nearly half a billion people also at risk of severe flooding as region faces escalating climate shocks

Tue Nov 25 2025
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ISLAMABAD: Nearly 90% of South Asia’s population will be exposed to extreme heat, and almost one-quarter could face severe flooding by 2030, a new World Bank study warned.

The report, “From Risk to Resilience: Helping People and Firms Adapt in South Asia,” based on case studies from Bangladesh, India, and Pakistan, states that the region remains one of the world’s most climate-vulnerable due to its dense population, rapidly rising temperatures, and exposed geography.

According to the study, South Asia will face “more frequent and more severe weather” shocks over the next decade. By 2030, an estimated 1.8 billion people — 89% of the region’s population — could be exposed to extreme heat, while around 462 million people may face severe flooding, reports Anadolu.

The World Bank has called for the development of stronger early warning systems, targeted support programs for vulnerable households, and policies that help both individuals and businesses adapt to increasing climate risks.

While many coastal and riverine communities have access to cyclone alerts, fewer than half receive timely warnings for floods or other hazards, the report noted.

It added that well-designed social assistance systems, backed by updated data, can be quickly expanded during climate emergencies to protect the poorest communities. However, the study cautioned that limited government budgets mean private-sector adaptation — supported by a clear policy framework — will be essential.

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