Spain Can Choose Between Sanchez or a Return From Right

Sun Jul 23 2023
icon-facebook icon-twitter icon-whatsapp

MADRID: Spain voted on Sunday on whether to hand Socialist Prime Minister Pedro Sánchez a new four-year mandate or, as polls suggest, return the right to power with its far-right ally.

Ahead of the European Parliament elections in 2024, a rightward shift in the eurozone’s fourth-largest economy, mirroring a similar move in Italy last year, would be a huge blow to left-wing parties in Europe.

It would be even more symbolic since Spain currently holds the presidency of the European Union.

Almost all opinion polls and pundits suggest the vote will mean victory for Alberto Nunez Feijoo’s right-wing People’s Party (PP) – but surprises may be in store.

About one in five voters were still undecided when the latest polls were released on Monday, and it remains unclear what impact the timing of the vote, which took place at the height of the summer holidays in sweltering heat at the end of July, will have on turnout.

With many Spaniards on holiday, more than 2.47 million – a record number – of the 37.5 million registered voters cast absentee ballots, Spain’s postal service said on Saturday.

Polling stations open at 9:00 (07:00 GMT) and close at 20:00, with results expected a few hours later.

It was not a good final week of the campaign for the PP leader, who ran afoul of the pensions issue, boycotted the final televised debate between the candidates and resurfaced troubling questions about his links to a now-convicted drug dealer in the 1990s.

Even so, “it would be a huge surprise if the PP didn’t win. But whether it succeeds in forming a government is another matter,” said Pedro Riera Sagrera, a political scientist at Madrid’s Carlos III University.

Feijoo hopes his party will reach the magic number of 176 MPs in the 350-member parliament, which would allow it to govern independently, but polls suggest otherwise.

They show that he is unlikely to achieve and will have to make a deal with the only available partner – the far-right party Vox, which emerged in 2013 from a split within the PP.

This poses a real challenge for Feijoo, who has built his reputation on being a moderate but whose party recently struck co-governance deals with Vox in local and regional bodies following the right-wing triumph in regional elections in May.

During the negotiations, Vox refused to back down from controversial positions such as rejecting abortion or trans rights, refusing to recognize gender violence or denying climate change.

Vox chairman Santiago Abascal has warned the PP that it will demand a role in government in exchange for its support, marking the first participation of the far right in a Spanish government since the end of Franco’s dictatorship in 1975.

Feijoo kept his plans for Vox under wraps, saying in an interview published Friday in El Mundo newspaper that “a candidate shouldn’t say who he’s going to partner with two days before the election.”

A coalition government with Vox “is not ideal,” he added.

Sanchez used the prospect of a PP-Vox national government to try to rally leftist and moderate voters.

During a televised debate on Wednesday, he warned that such a government “will not only be a step backwards for Spain” in terms of rights, “but also a serious obstacle to the European project”.

He says the only alternative is to keep the current coalition government between his Socialists and the far left in power.

The far-left Podemos party – his coalition partner from 2020 – was absorbed this year by Sumar, a new formation led by his hugely popular Labor Minister Yolanda Diaz, a communist.

While the Socialists and Podemos have clashed regularly, Sanchez has a smooth relationship with Diaz.

But Riera said the left-wing coalition’s chances of staying in power were slim and there was a “serious risk” that neither party could secure a workable majority, which could mean a repeat election in a few months.

icon-facebook icon-twitter icon-whatsapp